University Holds Mock Convention to Predict GOP Nominee

At Washington and Lee University in Lexington, Virginia this weekend, college students participated in a time-honored tradition, holding a mock convention to predict who would win the Republican presidential nomination this summer.

The convention, which dates back to the early years of the 20th century, is used to predict the nominee of the party not currently in the White House. It hasn’t been infallible, but its record is nothing to sneeze at; out of 25 conventions, the university has successfully predicted the correct nominee 19 times. Since 1948, they’ve only missed twice.

This year, if the students are right, Donald Trump will be the Republican nominee. The real estate mogul won 1,320 delegates, enough to handily beat his closest competition, Ted Cruz, who only scored 652 delegates. Marco Rubio came in third with 399.

Trump graciously accepted the prediction in a phone call Saturday night. “I’ve been hearing about this for many years, and I know your track record is extraordinary – better than anybody’s,” Trump said. “I will do my best to keep it intact.”

Trump’s competitors probably aren’t going to suspend their campaigns in light of the Washington and Lee results, but it’s one more sign of how quickly this election has gotten out of the RNC’s control. Even Trump’s early supporters doubted his ability to crack the establishment stranglehold last summer. After his decisive win in New Hampshire, though, only the most stubborn Republicans refuse to admit that he might indeed take down the whole shebang.

After months and months of coverage, it’s easy to forget how unlikely this all once seemed. In any other year, Trump would be debuting a new season of Celebrity Apprentice right about now. Instead, he’s extremely close to becoming the next president of the United States. And if he can actually pull it off, it’s no exaggeration to say we will have witnessed one of the most extraordinary political events in the country’s history.

Even if Trump ultimately falls short of the White House, his movement will not be soon forgotten. Clearly, there is much more to this than Trump himself. He was certainly a well-known celebrity before this, but he didn’t have the kind of built-in fan support that would have made a run like this more easily imaginable. His penchant for wild statements, his sense of humor, and his refusal to apologize have helped him dominate the media for the last eight months, but the Washington resentment fueling his campaign was already there. It just needed a figurehead.

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58 comments

  1. When will the RNC learn that they are not in control of he Republican party?

    The People are taking back their Government and Country….

    • Thank you.

    • They will not accept that they are no longer in control. The GOP has no clue how angry Americans are about being manipulated and lied to for so many years. Because of the extreme importance of this year’s election, we need to be more vigilante regarding voter fraud. It will be much more rampant as obama will not allow the dems to lose and will use all his dirty tricks.

    • I think they know how angry we are. They don’t care. They believe they can win by forcing a RINO on us and putting their voters in the position of either voting for “their hand picked dunce” or a Commie. Don’t let them have their choice. Let’s have our choice.

      • I think it may be that letting go of the kind of power they have been GIVEN (by We The People) is impossible for mortal human beings. You couple that with the power they have STOLEN from the people through lies and deception they are way too powerful.

        They are in denial. They think they have the power, but the power still resides with We The People….

        We have to take back each and every institution that they have infiltrated. Quickly. .

    • That is one of the problems: THE RNC is completely out of touch. McConnell declared war on Conservative America. Ryan is following the lead of Boehner and appeasement and capitulation is his idea of leadership. Priece (sp) is a bumbling idiot who refuses to lead. The leadership is OUT OF TOUCH WITH REALITY and worse WITH THE AMERICAN PEOPLE.

      • Precisely, but they are not only out of touch, they are attempting to force their reality on us. That is corrupt, that is why we need Term Limits. If the politicians will not instill term limits, We the People MUST simply vote them out after a term or two. Especially those whose actions do not follow their words…. Like Boehner, and McConnell.

  2. I’d like to see Trump/Carson. Carson will keep Trump calmed down and Trump will get things done.

  3. Will vote Trump as GOP nominee or 3rd party.

    • IF TRUMP WHINE ABOUT NOT BEING TREATED FAIRLY AN GOES 3RD PARTY…SAY HELLO TO PRES BERNIE,SOCIALISM GONE RAMPANT AND A GREAT COUNTRY BECOME A 3RD WORLD NATION IN LESS THAN A YEAR. AND TRUMP KNOWS THE RESULTANT CONSEQUENCES,WHICH MAKES ME WONDER ABOUT HIS LOYALTIES

      • Jeb or Rubio will make us Mexico faster than that.
        Independent TRUMP would win by a landslide, and all those boos at the SC debate will make his polling higher.

      • Make no mistake RNC cares more about themselves and their lobbyists first, then DNC and their lobbyists than the GOP voters. We are just the ones on the list they sell to various party members.

        • The oppressed are allowed once every few years to decide which particular representatives of the oppressing class are to represent and repress them in parliament.

          Vladimir Lenin

    • If TRUMP runs 3rd party, he SHALL be exposed as the TROJAN HORSE for the democ-RATS he appears to be. He is a THUG. A Bully a classless TEMPER-TANTRUM filled punk!

  4. With Trump in the lead and the next two are not eligible to be president. please read your constitution.

    • With the Constitutional question of “Eligibility” unsettled by a clear, unambiguous supreme court decision, this may go all the way to a fast tracked decision by either 9, or (or, most likely) 8 justices. If the court is equally divided, then the lower court’s decision will stand. Otherwise, either Roberts or Kennedy will side with the liberals on the bench and “We, the People” will be screwed. Because then, the next raging controversy will be, “Should the ‘Runner Up’ (Hillary of Bernie) become the next POTUS, should new elections be held (leaving “Him” in power for one or two years at least), or should congress appoint a new president. All of which are ugly scenarios to contemplate and could possibly tear this country apart.

      • Here is evidence of out founding fathers… Mr. Cruz is not a Natural Born Citizen. I know the sheep will not want to admit it and what I’m going to post comes straight from the mouth of the Founding Fathers and if anyone should know it would be them. Government can not grant natural born citizen status, it can only recognize it. In 1789, one year before the Constitution was ratified, Dr. David Ramsey, one of the founding fathers and close friend of George Washington wrote, A DISSERTATION On THE MANNER OF ACQUIRING THE CHARACTER AND PRIVILEGES OF A CITIZEN OF THE UNITED STATES, David Ramsay 1789. In it he wrote, (In this paragraph he is talking about natural born citizens), “None can claim citizenship as a birth-right, but such as have been born since the declaration of independence, f or this obvious reason: no man can be born a citizen of a state or government, which did not exist at the time of his birth. Citizenship is the inheritance of the children of those who have taken a part in the late revolution; but this is (confined exclusively) to the children of those who were themselves (citizens.”) Note he said (confined exclusively) to the children of those who were themselves, “citizens,” in plural because every man and woman became a citizen, not a natural born citizen at that time, and stated those rights are (inherited). Since this nation was formed I have yet seen anyone inherit anything from government.

        In 1775 Benjamin Franklin wrote a letter to Charles Dumas, in it he wrote,(this is just part of the letter) Dear Sir,

        Philadelphia, 9 December, 1775.

        “I am much obliged by the kind present you have made us of your edition of Vattel. It came to us in good season, when the circumstances of a rising state make it necessary frequently to consult the law of nations. Accordingly that copy, which I kept, (after depositing one in our own public library here, and sending the other to the College of Massachusetts Bay, as you directed,) has been continually in the hands of the members of our Congress, now sitting, who are much pleased with your notes and preface, and have entertained a high and just esteem for their author.” Note he stated that the Law Of Nations had been (continually) in the hands of the members of Congress. This is the book the founders relied upon to write the Federal Constitution. In Vattel’s Book I, he defines natural born citizen as follows, “The citizens are the members of the civil society; bound to this society by certain duties, and subject to its authority, they equally participate in its advantages. The natives, or natural-born citizens, are those born in the country, of parents who are citizens.” Again, “parents” and “citizens” in plural. The Constitution clearly makes a distinction on the requirements to be POTUS or to serve in congress and natural born citizen and a citizen are not the same. Thomas Jefferson wrote,

        “On every question of construction (of the Constitution) let us carry ourselves back to the time when the Constitution was adopted, recollect the spirit of the debates, and instead of trying what meaning may be squeezed out of the text, or invented against it, conform to the probable one in which it was passed.” In plain English, the constitution is not what anyone of us or any politician or judge thinks it is, the constitution means what the founders meant it to be. Again, government (can not) change the meaning of natural born citizen since government (has no power or authority to grant it,) it can only be (acquired by inheritanc e.) Neither Cruz, Rubio or the illegal alien at the WH are natural born citizens.

  5. How interesting. First time I’ve heard of this mock convention. I hope they’re right on this one.

  6. Agree!

  7. Interesting that Trump leads two Constitutionally ineligible candidates who if challenged would be removed from consideration…. Neither Cruz or Rubio are Constitutionally qualified……. (and neither was/is Obama).

  8. What the American people are upset with is that Lame Duck Republican Congress we have had for the last 7 years.

  9. I doesn’t take a political scientist, or even a rocket scientist, to make that prediction. Alas, the final vote hasn’t been taken, and that still gives REAL conservative Americans hope for change.

  10. RIANCE PEMIS STACKED THE AUDIENCE WITH BUSH BOTS. THE TWO RINO CANDIDATES YOU WILL BE FORCED TO VOTE FOR ARE BUSH AND K-SICK THE DOROTHY IN THE WIZARD OF OHIO. CHECK OUT THOSE RED SHOES. BEWARE OF KUMBAYAH SINGERS.
    VIVA EL TRUMPO VAYA CON TE FIESTA.

  11. Amazing that the RNC “Establishment” has not yet caught on that THEY are the reason Trump is so dominant. It has practically nothing to do with Trump; if he hadn’t entered the race his supporters would certainly have given their support to anyone who bucked the Establishment as he has. His support stems primarily from his strong anti-Establishment stand.
    Never again will the Republican Party regain the support of “We the People”; unless the Party purges itself of it’s lying leadership. I expect that unless they wake up and do so, they will go the way of other power groups who forgot Lincoln’s famous warning “You can’t fool all the people all of the time!”

  12. We the People are FED UP with the DC criminals and traitors! This rogue government needs a huge dose of Sani-Flush, and November will prove it. Every GOP candidate except Trump & Carson swim in the sewer of lies and corruption. All the chickens on both sides are headed home to roost in this election. Watch and learn.

  13. Establishment righties and lefties are busy figuring out methods to take Trump out of this race; I wouldn’t be surprised to see an assassination attempt on him; Hopefully, he’s beefed up his security to the safety level Even the Secret Service can’t be trusted; Big Money talks, and bs walks!

  14. Well, I must thank you boys once again for being my entertainment, together with SNL reruns and popcorn! You’ve been more than generous with your tantrums and jibes, and we shall see what we shall see.
    Best wishes… we’ll see you around!

  15. Trump is a donkey, in an elephant suit, and the blind, deaf, and obviously dumb, and full of hate, and fear, Trumpbots, cannot see the forest for the trees! “Better to hear the quiet words of a wise man, than the shouts of a foolish King.” Eccl 9:17 You Trumbots are going to feel the Bern, or even worse, when you see what one of the THREE Socialists, and Marxists, do to this country…3 stooges…Trump, Bernie, and Hillary…all Democrats!

  16. Trump has done a excellent Job of describing the problems this country faces, but so far I haven’t heard any “details” of “How” he plans to address those problems. Right now the biggest and most pressing problem is Debt and the economy, Few people understand that the Federal Reserve can pull the rug out from under this country over night and have people starving to death in less than a week. At that point immigration, Supreme court Judges and elections become irrelevant, people are fighting for something to eat. “Washington” is not going to allow anyone to interfere with “Their Control” of this nation, even if they have to kill the interlopers.

  17. They must start listening to the people. If it isn’t already too late.

  18. The GOP has opened the gate and have left a huge vacuum. The American People are beyond angry. The GOP Leadership chose to attack Conservative America instead of confronting Obama and the democ-RATS. This after being given a HISTORIC MANDATE to stop Obama and the democ-RATS from harming our nation any further. What did the GOP “Leadership” do instead: ATTACKED CONSERVATIVE America and fully funded EVERYTHING OBAMA and the democ-RATS demanded. Now the GOP Leadership acts perplexed at how really pissed off the American Voters are. They don’t get how a Ted Cruz or Donald Trump could possibly be the leaders on the Republican side of the vote. Here is a hint boys and girls: YOU PROMISED the VOTER one thing and then turned around and did just the opposite. It is time for McConnell, Cornyn, Ryan, Carter and the other Obama-Boot licking R.I.N.O.s to RETIRE. That or be FIRED

  19. I will be voting tomorrow in the early vote here in Texas. Ted Cruz for President. I will not be voting for John Carter as he joined Ryan and MCConnell in voting to fully fund EVERYTHING OBAMA wanted. I believe that Americans should target every last one of these LYING P.O.S. and Primary them out of office. Ted Cruz is the only candidate who has done what he promised Americans he would do. I thought when Rubio ran for office, he was the real deal. A real Conservative. I figured, this dude will be an outstanding President. Then Rubio joined the gang of 8. He has since shown that he knows it was a mistake at the time. That he got caught going against his promise to the people of Florida and ultimately America. Rubio ran as a Conservative and even more then that, he was backed by the Tea Party. Once elected Rubio appeared to turn into an immediate R.I.N.O. a McCain, Graham, Shumer Republican. a “moderate”. I understand WHY Americans are supporting Donald Trump as well. I get it.
    I support Ted Cruz and have from the beginning.
    I believe the GOP is going to be devastated once the primaries alone are over.
    The leadership chose to ATTACK CONSERVATIVE AMERICA, while funding everything Obama demanded. I believe there is a STRONG possibility that there will be a new political party after this election. The Republican Leadership opened the gates to it. I don’t know if the GOP will be viable once this is done. Ryan and McConnell, Cornyn, McCarthy, Carter and dozens of others HAVE COMMITTED Political Suicide. They targeted Conservative Americans. Now pay back is going to be a real ugly bi+ch

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