Few on the left thought that Donald Trump had the slightest chance against Hillary Clinton going into Election Day 2016. One who did, however, was documentary filmmaker Michael Moore. He warned everyone who would listen that Hillary’s supposed lead over Trump was a poll-driven mirage that did not match what he was seeing in his home state of Michigan. Pundits, pollsters, and experts dismissed Moore as a Chicken Little at the time, but he wound up being right. Trump swept states thought to be unwinnable for a Republican on his way to delivering Clinton the upset of the century.
Now Moore is worried that history could repeat itself.
“It’s awful news,” Moore said of Michigan polls showing Biden leading Trump by seven points. In an interview with The Hill, Moore noted that it wasn’t long ago when polls had Biden ahead by 16 – a lead that Trump has “cut in half” in only a few short weeks.
“Trump has tightened virtually every one of these swing states to the point where- what are they saying this morning? ‘Biden’s five points ahead in Wisconsin, maybe three points ahead in Florida, two points ahead in Arizona,’” Moore said.
“Listen, don’t believe these polls,” Moore continued. “The Trump vote is always being undercounted. Pollsters- when they actually call the Trump voter, the Trump voter is very suspicious of the ‘Deep State’ calling them and asking them who they’re voting for. So it is not an accurate count. I think the safe thing to do, this is not scientific – whatever they’re saying the Biden lead is, cut it in half, right now, in your head. Cut it in half, and now you’re within the four-point margin of error. That’s how close this is! That’s how desperately close this is!”
This isn’t the first time this year that Moore has tried to sound the alarm. In a Facebook post from August, the filmmaker warned Biden supporters not to get complacent.
“I’m warning you almost 10 weeks in advance. The enthusiasm level for the 60 million in Trump’s base is OFF THE CHARTS! For Joe, not so much,” Moore wrote at the time. “Don’t leave it to the Democrats to get rid of Trump. YOU have to get rid of Trump. WE have to wake up every day for the next 67 days and make sure each of us are going to get a hundred people out to vote. ACT NOW!”