A Percentage Of Americans Believe Trump Can Replace Biden Before The 2024 Election

There is a not-so-small minority of Americans that believe that Donald Trump can be reinstated as president, replacing Joe Biden even before the 2024 presidential elections.

According to a new Monmouth University poll, roughly 1 in 6 Americans believe there may be a path to replace President Biden with former President Trump before the next presidential election in 2024.

Seventeen percent say that they still see a path to reinstating the former president sometime in the next 2 1/2 years, despite Trump losing both the popular and Electoral College votes to Biden in the 2020 presidential election. Six percent say they “definitely” see a path to replacing Biden with Trump, while 11 percent say there “probably” is. 

Unfortunately for them and other wishful thinkers, there really is no legal way for Trump to be reinstated as president before 2024. The U.S. Constitution doesn’t provide for such a possibility, and even if Biden were to somehow be removed from office, Vice President Harris would be next in line for the presidency. 

The vast majority of those surveyed in the Monmouth poll – 77 percent – say there’s not a path for Trump to be reinstalled in the White House before the next presidential election, including 56 percent who say that’s “definitely not” a possibility. 

Still, that there is not such a small minority, nearly 20%, who believe that such a thing is possible is a reflection of the love and support the former president still has among his base of followers. 

The poll also found that 61% of Americans believe that Biden won the 2020 election “fair and square,” while nearly one-third of respondents – 32% – attributes his victory to voter fraud, echoing Trump’s yet to be substantiated claims that the election results were marred by cheating.

Nevertheless, a majority of Americans believe that voter fraud is at least a minor issue. Forty-one percent of respondents in the Monmouth poll said it is a “major problem,” while another 28 percent said it is a “minor problem.” Twenty-nine percent do not believe that voter fraud is a problem.

The Monmouth University poll surveyed 794 U.S. adults by telephone from Jan. 20 to 24. It has a margin of sampling error of 3.5 percentage points.

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