If President Donald Trump wants to plot a 2024 comeback, public support shows that he’ll have a huge majority of Republican voters in his corner. According to a new poll from Newsmax and McLaughlin Associates, Trump’s base is large enough and loyal enough that his mere presence could freeze out any other Republican who might be thinking of throwing his hat into the presidential ring.
“A super-majority — 68% of Republicans and GOP primary voting independents — would love to see President Donald Trump run again in 2024 if he ultimately fails to prevail against Joe Biden in this year’s election, according to a new Newsmax/McLaughlin Associates poll. The president continues to hold a strong job approval rating, with 48%. And to a majority of Americans, 52%, major media outlets in the U.S. have been biased and unfair in their coverage of Trump, who is in the midst of a fierce legal battle on several fronts to challenge the results of the recent presidential election,” Newsmax reported this week.
“In all, 53% of Republican primary voters say they would favor Trump in a field of 13 potential challengers, including Vice President Mike Pence, Sen. Ted Cruz, and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo,” the report continued. “Pence finished second with 9%. None of the other potential candidates finished with more than 4%. ‘In a crowded field of 14 possible candidates for the 2024 Republican primary, no one comes close to President Trump,’ pollster John McLaughlin said.”
In remarks to Newsmax pundit Kevin Broderick said that he sees the same phenomenon.
“One thing remains a constant even if he is does not run, the 2024 candidate will need Donald Trump’s endorsement in order to be the Republican nominee. He is the Kingmaker,” Broderick noted. “With that said, if Biden runs again, I think Trump will run again with little opposition given his ability to draw primary voters. Avenging his loss in 2020 with a comeback story will be too enticing for Trump to turn down.”
We would be pretty surprised if Biden were to actually run again. While he hasn’t officially deemed himself a one-term president, his age and his obvious declining mental (and physical, judging by his recent injury) abilities makes an eight-year run exceedingly unlikely. Democrats are undoubtedly eager to get back to their focus on minorities and diversity, and that means passing the torch to…well, Kamala Harris seems like the clearest way forward, but we’ll see.
Four years is a long time, though, and anything could happen between now and then. For the time being, however, Trump carries an enormous amount of weight with Republican voters. Until he makes a decision about his 2024 plans, other Republican politicians are going to have a hard time getting any momentum going.